NBA · Mar 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalBOS 109 – CLE 98Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Baylor Scheierman · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 16 actual

Derrick White · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Hugo González · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 0 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 20 actual

Luka Garza · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

James Harden · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 0 actual

Jaylon Tyson · minutes unknown

assists 1.5 → 1 actual

Thomas Bryant · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CLE expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 224.5 points · odds to win: BOS 2.06, CLE 1.85

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 17:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 140 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Baylor Scheierman · points 5.5 → 16 · 10.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · no final price

Derrick White · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Hugo González · points 4.5 → 0 · 4.5 below the line · played 7.1 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.4 min · no final price

James Harden · steals 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.3 min · no final price

Neemias Queta · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 35.9 min · no final price

Thomas Bryant · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 13.6 min · no final price

Jaylon Tyson · assists 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · points 18.5 → 20 · 1.5 above the line · played 27 min · no final price

Luka Garza · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 11.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs BOS · last 29 games · BOS leads · CLE record 10–19 · average score 107.4–112.8 · CLE has lost by 5.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Mar · BOS 109 at CLE 98CLE lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CLE expected to win by 2, expected total 224.5 (Sun 17:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 17:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 21 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 102 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 110 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 110 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 111 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 112 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 114 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 152 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 158 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 134 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 489 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 510 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 303 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1004 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 975 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 976 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1016 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1023 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1036 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1072 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1074 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1191 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1223 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1226 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1264 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.