NBA · Mar 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalBOS 102 – OKC 104Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Baylor Scheierman · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → no final stat available

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → no final stat available

Luka Garza · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 10 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 14 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 2 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 15 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jared McCain · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 235 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Baylor Scheierman · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.15

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Jared McCain · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 11.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Payton Pritchard · points 17.5 → 14 · 3.5 below the line · played 38.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Ajay Mitchell · points 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.98

Jaylin Williams · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Luka Garza · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Neemias Queta · rebounds 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.67

Derrick White · assists 5.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.63

Jayson Tatum · points 19.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs BOS · last 13 games · OKC leads · OKC record 7–6 · average score 113.9–115.3 · OKC has lost by 1.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Mar · OKC 109 at BOS 119OKC lost

12 Mar · BOS 102 at OKC 104OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 12 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 17 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 103 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 108 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 108 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 128 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 142 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 135 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 487 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 782 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 675 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 675 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 674 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 687 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 734 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 737 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 759 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 760 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 761 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 763 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 763 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 764 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 868 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.