NBA · Mar 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs

FinalDEN 136 – SAS 131Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → 39 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 12 actual

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 10 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 287 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

De'Aaron Fox · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 36 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Christian Braun · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 37.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Jamal Murray · points 22.5 → 39 · 16.5 above the line · played 39.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Devin Vassell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Keldon Johnson · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 22 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Cameron Johnson · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Stephon Castle · assists 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Nikola Jokić · assists 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 39 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Julian Champagnie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 2.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs DEN · last 22 games · DEN leads · SAS record 8–14 · average score 116.2–119.0 · SAS has lost by 2.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · DEN 128 at SAS 118SAS lost

4 Apr · SAS 134 at DEN 136SAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 61 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 145 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 148 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 150 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 152 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 155 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 155 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 177 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 177 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 219 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 242 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 136 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 694 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1085 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1889 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 319 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 570 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 570 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 569 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 810 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1616 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1625 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1625 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1625 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1626 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1625 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.