NBA · Mar 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat

FinalMIL 105 – MIA 112Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes15 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

Jaime Jaquez Jr. · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Kasparas Jakučionis · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Kevin Porter Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 5 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Ousmane Dieng · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 0 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 10 actual

Tyler Herro · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → no final stat available

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Bobby Portis Jr. · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 19 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Giannis Antetokounmpo · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 6 actual

Myron Gardner · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 208 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

15 other players with a posted line

Kasparas Jakučionis · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.47

Ryan Rollins · assists 4.5 → 10 · 5.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Ousmane Dieng · points 9.5 → 0 · 9.5 below the line · played 14 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Bobby Portis Jr. · points 9.5 → 19 · 9.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.98

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.50

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 37.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Jaime Jaquez Jr. · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Kevin Porter Jr. · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Myron Gardner · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 9.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Kyle Kuzma · points 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 35 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Giannis Antetokounmpo · rebounds 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Myles Turner · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 15 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Tyler Herro · points 23.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs MIL · last 38 games · MIL leads · MIA record 18–20 · average score 112.6–114.9 · MIA has lost by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Mar · MIL 105 at MIA 112MIA won

24 Feb · MIA 117 at MIL 128MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 64

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 27 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 28 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 31 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 50 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 108 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 184 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 185 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 189 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 190 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 167 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 209 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 368 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 394 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 523 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 477 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 480 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 501 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 511 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 518 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 526 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 580 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 604 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 626 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 630 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 634 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 636 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 637 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 639 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 773 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 655 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 655 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 658 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 659 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 690 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 697 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 697 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 700 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 705 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 757 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 761 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 763 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 762 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 767 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 830 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1065 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1079 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1092 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1102 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1104 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.