NBA · Mar 23 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat

FinalSAS 136 – MIA 111Page updated 14:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 6 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 18 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 243 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 21.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.42, Under 1.54

Keldon Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.33, Under 1.54

Devin Vassell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 21 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.77

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.3 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.61

Davion Mitchell · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 22.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

De'Aaron Fox · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.02

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Stephon Castle · assists 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.9 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Bam Adebayo · points 21.5 → 18 · 3.5 below the line · played 28.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.90

Dylan Harper · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Julian Champagnie · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 22 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.77

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs SAS · last 14 games · MIA leads · MIA record 10–4 · average score 112.6–108.2 · MIA has won by 4.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Mar · SAS 136 at MIA 111MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 26 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 113 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 113 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 118 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 124 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 124 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 127 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 135 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 143 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 471 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 488 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 338 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1085 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 812 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1601 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1601 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1621 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1621 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1621 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1625 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1630 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1663 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1665 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1729 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.