NBA · Mar 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Boston Celtics

FinalOKC 109 – BOS 119Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes16 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 8 actual

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 8.5 → 15 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Jared McCain · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 4 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Boston Celtics

Baylor Scheierman · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Derrick White · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 12 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 3 actual

Luka Garza · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 13 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 289 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

16 other players with a posted line

Jared McCain · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 12.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 37 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Baylor Scheierman · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Alex Caruso · points + rebounds + assists 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 21.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.15

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Neemias Queta · points 8.5 → 13 · 4.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Isaiah Hartenstein · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Sam Hauser · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Ajay Mitchell · points 11.5 → 8 · 3.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Derrick White · points 16.5 → 12 · 4.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Jalen Williams · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Jayson Tatum · 3-pointers 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.58, Under 2.34

Jaylin Williams · points 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 13.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.78

Cason Wallace · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.00

Luka Garza · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 11.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.98

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs OKC · last 13 games · OKC leads · BOS record 6–7 · average score 115.3–113.9 · BOS has won by 1.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Mar · OKC 109 at BOS 119BOS won

12 Mar · BOS 102 at OKC 104BOS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 67

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 33 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 92 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 94 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 127 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 128 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 121 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 136 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 303 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 553 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 479 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 480 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 482 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 484 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 837 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 838 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 871 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 879 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 885 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1009 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 913 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 914 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 921 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 921 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 957 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 965 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 966 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 991 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1027 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1034 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1056 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.