NBA · Apr 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets

FinalPOR 132 – DEN 137Page updated 14:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 26 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 12 actual

Jrue Holiday · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 11 actual

Robert Williams III · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Scoot Henderson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 8 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 7 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 8.5 · both teams together expected to score about 235.5 points · odds to win: POR 3.59, DEN 1.31

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Tue 00:49 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 268 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Cameron Johnson · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.01

Jrue Holiday · assists 6.5 → 11 · 4.5 above the line · played 38.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Scoot Henderson · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.60, Under 2.30

Christian Braun · points 11.5 → 8 · 3.5 below the line · played 39.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Nikola Jokić · assists 10.5 → 13 · 2.5 above the line · played 43.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.02

Toumani Camara · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Robert Williams III · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 23 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.03

Donovan Clingan · rebounds 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 30 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.75

Deni Avdija · points 25.5 → 26 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.15, Under 1.33

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs POR · last 32 games · DEN leads · DEN record 23–9 · average score 120.9–114.2 · DEN has won by 6.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Apr · POR 132 at DEN 137DEN won

22 Mar · POR 112 at DEN 128DEN won

20 Feb · DEN 157 at POR 103DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

FanDuel first had DEN expected to win by 8.5, expected total 238.5 (Sun 07:34 UTC) and later DEN expected to win by 7.5, expected total 235.5 (Tue 00:49 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 20 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 137 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 137 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 139 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 139 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 141 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 144 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 145 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 168 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 191 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 57 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 120 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1090 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2308 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2977 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 411 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1364 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1364 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1410 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1416 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1421 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1431 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1433 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1432 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1643 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2153 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.