02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

13 players checked · 7 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 2 of 12 players have performed clearly differently and 3 show a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Boston Celticsplaying PHI

Baylor Scheierman · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 10 actual
Derrick White · minutes unknown
assists 4.5 → 2 actual
Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown
assists 6.5 → 7 actual
Jordan Walsh · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 4 actual
Neemias Queta · minutes unknown
points 9.5 → 6 actual
Paul George · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 5 actual
Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown
assists 4.5 → 2 actual
Sam Hauser · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Philadelphia 76ersplaying BOS

Adem Bona · minutes unknown
points 3.5 → 10 actual
Jaylen Brown · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual
Justin Edwards · minutes unknown
points 4.5 → 0 actual
Tyrese Maxey · minutes unknown
points 26.5 → 31 actual
VJ Edgecombe · minutes unknown
points 15.5 → 10 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 317 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
13 other players with a posted line
Adem Bona · points 3.5 → 10 · 6.5 above the line · played 22.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91
Justin Edwards · points 4.5 → 0 · 4.5 below the line · played 12.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38
Baylor Scheierman · points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 10 · 4.5 above the line · played 12.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85
Derrick White · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.88
Payton Pritchard · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.34, Under 1.58
Paul George · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 41 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.80
Neemias Queta · points 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 12.8 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87
VJ Edgecombe · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 41.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.04
Jaylen Brown · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.04
Jordan Walsh · points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 12.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77
Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.09, Under 1.71
Tyrese Maxey · points 26.5 → 31 · 4.5 above the line · played 42.5 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80
Jayson Tatum · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 42.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.00

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

PHI vs BOS · last 44 games · BOS leads · PHI record 21–23 · average score 104.3–108.8 · PHI has lost by 4.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

2 May · PHI 109 at BOS 100PHI won
30 Apr · BOS 93 at PHI 106PHI won
28 Apr · PHI 113 at BOS 97PHI won
26 Apr · BOS 128 at PHI 96PHI lost
24 Apr · BOS 108 at PHI 100PHI lost
21 Apr · PHI 111 at BOS 97PHI won
19 Apr · PHI 91 at BOS 123PHI lost
1 Mar · PHI 98 at BOS 114PHI lost
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

BetRivers first had BOS expected to win by 8, expected total 215 () and later BOS expected to win by 9, expected total 215.5 ().

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 72
sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 55 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 56 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 57 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 58 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 61 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 62 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 97 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 104 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 118 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 118 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 162 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 222 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 224 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 230 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 236 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 239 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 242 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-11)ok 200 · 256 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 259 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-12)ok 200 · 263 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-13)ok 200 · 267 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 270 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 276 ms
sds games/date (2026-04-10)ok 200 · 285 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 289 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 289 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 293 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 102 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 737 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 908 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1257 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 61 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 117 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 197 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 225 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 257 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 266 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 271 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 283 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 299 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 308 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 310 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 314 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 328 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 352 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1223 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1279 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1351 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1361 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1377 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1380 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1420 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1548 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1617 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1618 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1753 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1753 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1805 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.