Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.
Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted
Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
Our picks, raw · 35
Keegan Murray · U 9.5 points+185value_edge_pct +66.22 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 6
Damian Lillard · U 3.5 assists+192value_edge_pct +65.80 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 7
Darius Acuff Jr. · U 3.5 assists+170value_edge_pct +33.34 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 28
Donovan Clingan · U 9.5 rebounds+190value_edge_pct +27.18 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 42
Ja Morant · U 14.5 points+200value_edge_pct +21.00 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 60
Domantas Sabonis · O 6.5 assists+162value_edge_pct +18.62 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 79
Deni Avdija · U 19.5 points+150value_edge_pct +17.77 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 87
Donovan Clingan · U 9.5 points+185value_edge_pct +17.77 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 88
Jrue Holiday · U 9.5 points+175value_edge_pct +16.73 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 95
Deni Avdija · U 5.5 rebounds+176value_edge_pct +14.79 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 108
Toumani Camara · O 11.5 points+138value_edge_pct +13.38 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 125
Damian Lillard · O 5.5 assists+166value_edge_pct +13.26 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 130
Domantas Sabonis · U 14.5 points+155value_edge_pct +11.71 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 147
Deni Avdija · O 6.5 rebounds+133value_edge_pct +11.65 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 148
Scoot Henderson · O 10.5 points+120value_edge_pct +11.09 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 155
Keegan Murray · O 5.5 rebounds+153value_edge_pct +10.61 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 170
Domantas Sabonis · U 5.5 assists+146value_edge_pct +10.59 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 173
Keegan Murray · U 11.5 points+130value_edge_pct +10.00 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 186
Domantas Sabonis · U 34.5 pra+120value_edge_pct +9.53 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 203
Zach LaVine · U 2.5 assists+122value_edge_pct +9.00 · kelly 1.85u · price_check unchecked · rank 214
Deni Avdija · O 4.5 assists−113value_edge_pct +8.17 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 239
Domantas Sabonis · O 35.5 pra+104value_edge_pct +7.96 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 248
Deni Avdija · O 21.5 points+108value_edge_pct +7.60 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 265
Domantas Sabonis · U 13.5 rebounds−135value_edge_pct +7.54 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 268
De'Andre Hunter · O 1.5 threes+120value_edge_pct +7.24 · kelly 1.50u · price_check unchecked · rank 286
De'Andre Hunter · O 9.5 points−140value_edge_pct +7.00 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 300
De'Andre Hunter · U 1.5 assists+118value_edge_pct +6.87 · kelly 1.45u · price_check unchecked · rank 306
Keegan Murray · O 1.5 assists+113value_edge_pct +6.58 · kelly 1.45u · price_check unchecked · rank 311
Donovan Clingan · U 24.5 pra+110value_edge_pct +6.37 · kelly 1.45u · price_check unchecked · rank 317
Toumani Camara · O 1.5 assists−108value_edge_pct +5.54 · kelly 1.50u · price_check unchecked · rank 327
Darius Acuff Jr. · U 7.5 ra−103value_edge_pct +5.46 · kelly 1.40u · price_check unchecked · rank 329
De'Andre Hunter · O 3.5 rebounds−113value_edge_pct +4.93 · kelly 1.40u · price_check unchecked · rank 345
Donovan Clingan · O 9.5 points−138value_edge_pct +4.71 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 352
Domantas Sabonis · O 15.5 points−125value_edge_pct +4.25 · kelly 1.35u · price_check unchecked · rank 358
Donovan Clingan · O 1.5 assists−127value_edge_pct +3.77 · kelly 1.20u · price_check unchecked · rank 368
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 51
Damian Lillard Under 24.5 PTSWIN +0.33ubet −300 · bet_clv:2341934 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 75.6% · actual 19 · 32.7 min · started
Donovan Clingan Under 24.5 PRAWIN +1.10ubet +110 · bet_clv:2341929 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.7% · actual 22 · 20.5 min · started
Darius Acuff Jr. Under 3.5 REBWIN +0.48ubet −210 · bet_clv:2339093 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.7% · actual 2 · 36.6 min · started
Keegan Murray Over 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +113 · bet_clv:2339088 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.0% · unexplained · actual 1 · 26.0 min · started
Donovan Clingan Under 9.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +190 · bet_clv:2334780 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.9% · unexplained · actual 11 · 20.5 min · started
Donovan Clingan Over 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −138 · bet_clv:2334778 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.7% · unexplained · actual 8 · 20.5 min · started
De'Andre Hunter Over 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −140 · bet_clv:2334772 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.4% · unexplained · actual 4 · 24.8 min · started
Deni Avdija Under 24.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −210 · bet_clv:2328769 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.1% · unexplained · actual 26 · 37.6 min · started
De'Andre Hunter Over 3.5 REBWIN +0.88ubet −113 · bet_clv:2328768 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 55.7% · actual 7 · 24.8 min · started
Domantas Sabonis Under 34.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +120 · bet_clv:2328764 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.8% · unexplained · actual 56 · 38.6 min · started
Darius Acuff Jr. Under 7.5 RAWIN +0.97ubet −103 · bet_clv:2324234 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.5% · actual 6 · 36.6 min · started
Darius Acuff Jr. Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −156 · bet_clv:2324233 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 62.5% · unexplained · actual 33 · 36.6 min · started
Darius Acuff Jr. Under 5.5 ASTWIN +0.50ubet −200 · bet_clv:2324232 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.5% · actual 4 · 36.6 min · started
Donovan Clingan Under 9.5 PTSWIN +1.85ubet +185 · bet_clv:2324230 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 41.3% · actual 8 · 20.5 min · started
Donovan Clingan Over 1.5 ASTWIN +0.79ubet −127 · bet_clv:2324229 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.1% · actual 3 · 20.5 min · started
Toumani Camara Over 11.5 PTSWIN +1.38ubet +138 · bet_clv:2324228 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.6% · actual 19 · 27.3 min · started
Toumani Camara Over 1.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −108 · bet_clv:2324227 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.8% · unexplained · actual 1 · 27.3 min · started
Keegan Murray Over 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +153 · bet_clv:2324226 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.7% · unexplained · actual 2 · 26.0 min · started
Deni Avdija Under 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +176 · bet_clv:2324223 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 41.6% · unexplained · actual 7 · 37.6 min · started
De'Andre Hunter Over 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet +120 · bet_clv:2324222 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.7% · unexplained · actual 0 · 24.8 min · started
De'Andre Hunter Under 14.5 PTSWIN +0.36ubet −275 · bet_clv:2324221 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.8% · actual 4 · 24.8 min · started
De'Andre Hunter Under 1.5 ASTWIN +1.18ubet +118 · bet_clv:2324220 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.0% · actual 1 · 24.8 min · started
Ja Morant Under 14.5 PTSWIN +2.00ubet +200 · bet_clv:2324218 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 40.3% · actual 12 · 26.9 min · started
Domantas Sabonis Under 13.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −135 · bet_clv:2324217 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 61.8% · unexplained · actual 19 · 38.6 min · started
Domantas Sabonis Over 35.5 PRAWIN +1.04ubet +104 · bet_clv:2324216 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.9% · actual 56 · 38.6 min · started
Domantas Sabonis Over 15.5 PTSWIN +0.80ubet −125 · bet_clv:2324215 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.9% · actual 27 · 38.6 min · started
Domantas Sabonis Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +155 · bet_clv:2324213 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.8% · unexplained · actual 27 · 38.6 min · started
Domantas Sabonis Under 5.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +146 · bet_clv:2324212 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.0% · unexplained · actual 10 · 38.6 min · started
Domantas Sabonis Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet −215 · bet_clv:2324214 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 70.8% · unexplained · actual 27 · 38.6 min · started
Zach LaVine Under 3.5 ASTWIN +0.38ubet −260 · bet_clv:2317255 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 74.2% · actual 1 · 39.1 min · started
Zach LaVine Under 2.5 ASTWIN +1.22ubet +122 · bet_clv:2317254 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.1% · actual 1 · 39.1 min · started
Damian Lillard Under 3.5 ASTWIN +1.92ubet +192 · bet_clv:2317253 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 56.8% · actual 2 · 32.7 min · started
Damian Lillard Over 5.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +166 · bet_clv:2317252 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.6% · unexplained · actual 2 · 32.7 min · started
Jrue Holiday Under 14.5 PTSWIN +0.42ubet −240 · bet_clv:2317251 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 69.7% · actual 12 · 26.5 min · started
Jrue Holiday Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +175 · bet_clv:2317250 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 42.4% · unexplained · actual 12 · 26.5 min · started
Darius Acuff Jr. Under 3.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +170 · bet_clv:2317249 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.4% · unexplained · actual 4 · 36.6 min · started
Donovan Clingan Under 14.5 PTSWIN +0.42ubet −240 · bet_clv:2317248 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 71.1% · actual 8 · 20.5 min · started
Donovan Clingan Under 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet −245 · bet_clv:2317247 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 71.6% · unexplained · actual 3 · 20.5 min · started
Toumani Camara Under 5.5 REBWIN +0.45ubet −220 · bet_clv:2317246 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.8% · actual 2 · 27.3 min · started
Keegan Murray Under 11.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +130 · bet_clv:2317245 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.8% · unexplained · actual 12 · 26.0 min · started
Keegan Murray Under 14.5 PTSWIN +0.43ubet −230 · bet_clv:2317244 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 73.7% · actual 12 · 26.0 min · started
Keegan Murray Under 9.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +185 · bet_clv:2317243 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 58.3% · unexplained · actual 12 · 26.0 min · started
Deni Avdija Under 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +150 · bet_clv:2317239 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.1% · unexplained · actual 26 · 37.6 min · started
Deni Avdija Over 21.5 PTSWIN +1.08ubet +108 · bet_clv:2317238 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.7% · actual 26 · 37.6 min · started
Deni Avdija Over 4.5 ASTWIN +0.88ubet −113 · bet_clv:2317237 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.4% · actual 6 · 37.6 min · started
De'Andre Hunter Under 4.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −185 · bet_clv:2317236 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 63.8% · unexplained · actual 7 · 24.8 min · started
Ja Morant Under 19.5 PTSWIN +0.56ubet −180 · bet_clv:2317235 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 65.5% · actual 12 · 26.9 min · started
Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 ASTWIN +1.62ubet +162 · bet_clv:2317234 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 45.3% · actual 10 · 38.6 min · started
Scoot Henderson Over 10.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +120 · bet_clv:2317242 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.5% · unexplained · actual 4 · 20.5 min · started
Deni Avdija Over 6.5 REBWIN +1.33ubet +133 · bet_clv:2317241 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.9% · actual 7 · 37.6 min · started
Deni Avdija Under 7.5 REBWIN +0.45ubet −220 · bet_clv:2317240 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-23T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 68.5% · actual 7 · 37.6 min · started
Data fetches · 28
sds history (h2h)ok · 12 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 12 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 13 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 19 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 84 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 88 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 89 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 91 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms
grading picks/published (saved-only)ok · 103 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 112 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 86 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 86 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 87 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 87 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 88 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 90 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 91 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 92 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 92 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 94 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 99 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 469 ms
grading verdict/board (price-only)failed 502 · 9859 ms