NBA · Jun 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics

FinalDAL 89 – BOS 107Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 7 availability alerts

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Jr. · left shin/tibia contusion · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Jr. · left shin/tibia contusion · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Dereck Lively II · Out · right foot surgery (foot) · listed out, then played

rebounds 7.5 → 5 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 216.5 points · odds to win: DAL 3.18, BOS 1.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Jr. · left shin/tibia contusion · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL had 7 days off before this game · BOS had 10 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 292 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 16 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.5 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.5 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 14.3 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

Derrick White · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 42.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs DAL · last 19 games · BOS leads · BOS record 13–6 · average score 111.7–104.8 · BOS has won by 6.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Mar · DAL 100 at BOS 120BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

DAL gives up109.1 points · 43.5 rebounds · 25.5 assists · 30.6% from three-point range

BOS gives up104.3 points · 43.5 rebounds · 25.2 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

DAL gives up 109.1 points a game · 9th of 30 · league average 113.4−4.3 vs average

BOS gives up 104.3 points a game · 4th of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds games/date (2024-05-27)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-30)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-28)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-26)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-24)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-25)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 21 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-23)ok 200 · 22 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 46 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 56 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 104 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-01)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-02)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-04)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-03)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-31)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-29)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/date (2024-06-05)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 137 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 154 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 61 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 279 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 97 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 124 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 126 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 130 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 133 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.