NBA · Oct 31 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks

FinalHOU 108 – DAL 102Page updated 00:30 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 0 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 15 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 3 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 28 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 4 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 226 points · odds to win: HOU 3.21, DAL 1.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 00:30 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 218 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Fred VanVleet · 3-pointers 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 39.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.60

Tari Eason · points 7.5 → 15 · 7.5 above the line · played 18.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.89

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.93

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 8.5 → 3 · 5.5 below the line · played 15 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Amen Thompson · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 18 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Daniel Gafford · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 15.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.33, Under 2.88

Kyrie Irving · points 23.5 → 28 · 4.5 above the line · played 42.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.38, Under 2.70

Alperen Sengun · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.63, Under 1.44

Naji Marshall · points 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.96

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs HOU · last 25 games · DAL leads · DAL record 15–10 · average score 108.6–106.7 · DAL has won by 1.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

31 Jan · DAL 107 at HOU 111DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 6.5, expected total 226 (Fri 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 51 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 78 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 79 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 93 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 208 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 209 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 211 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 252 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 259 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 261 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 262 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 264 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 385 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 425 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 434 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 450 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 458 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 472 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 475 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 826 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 684 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1318 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1270 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1293 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1325 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1422 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1478 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1548 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1569 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1582 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1667 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.