NBA · Jan 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls

FinalMIA 116 – CHI 113Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 0 actual

Chicago Bulls

Isaac Okoro · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Jalen Smith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Josh Giddey · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → no final stat available

Matas Buzelis · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 9 actual

Norman Powell · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Patrick Williams · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 238 points · odds to win: MIA 1.79, CHI 2.15

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 407 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Simone Fontecchio · points 8.5 → 0 · 8.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · no final price

Patrick Williams · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 12.1 min · no final price

Matas Buzelis · rebounds 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.3 min · no final price

Norman Powell · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Jalen Smith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.3 min · no final price

Andrew Wiggins · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.8 min · no final price

Isaac Okoro · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · no final price

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.6 min · no final price

Josh Giddey · assists 7.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs MIA · last 23 games · MIA leads · CHI record 10–13 · average score 108.9–113.6 · CHI has lost by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Feb · CHI 91 at MIA 134CHI lost

31 Jan · CHI 125 at MIA 118CHI won

29 Jan · MIA 116 at CHI 113CHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 2.5, expected total 238 (Fri 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 28 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 47 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 64 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 128 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 143 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 189 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 189 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 188 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 202 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 456 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 467 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 734 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 621 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 656 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 703 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 709 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 711 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 740 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 762 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 768 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 774 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 789 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1033 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 972 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 996 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 996 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 996 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 996 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 997 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 998 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1009 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1010 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1007 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1008 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1010 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.