NBA · Jan 31 gameAll props Full sheet

Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat

FinalCHI 125 – MIA 118Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Chicago Bulls

Isaac Okoro · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Jalen Smith · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Josh Giddey · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → no final stat available

Matas Buzelis · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 0 actual

Patrick Williams · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 16.5 → 19 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 15.5 → 17 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 14.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 231.5 points · odds to win: CHI 2.80, MIA 1.50

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 122 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Isaac Okoro · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Matas Buzelis · steals 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Andrew Wiggins · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.8 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

Pelle Larsson · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 15 min · no final price

Simone Fontecchio · points + rebounds 14.5 → 10 · 4.5 below the line · played 18 min · no final price

Patrick Williams · points + rebounds 16.5 → 19 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · no final price

Dru Smith · points + rebounds + assists 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.9 min · no final price

Jalen Smith · points 13.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Josh Giddey · points 18.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs CHI · last 23 games · MIA leads · MIA record 13–10 · average score 113.6–108.9 · MIA has won by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Feb · CHI 91 at MIA 134MIA won

31 Jan · CHI 125 at MIA 118MIA lost

29 Jan · MIA 116 at CHI 113MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 6, expected total 231.5 (Sun 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 14 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 17 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 30 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 172 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 173 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 173 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 174 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 177 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 164 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 179 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 180 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 181 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 80 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 240 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1059 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1059 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 1907 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1903 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1909 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1903 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1909 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1903 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1961 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1961 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1965 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1967 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 1973 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.