NBA · May 1 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Houston Rockets

FinalLAL 98 – HOU 78Page updated 13:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes30 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

SAustin Reaves · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

SDeandre Ayton · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Jake LaRavia · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 12 actual

Jaxson Hayes · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 5 actual

SLeBron James · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Luke Kennard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

SMarcus Smart · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

SRui Hachimura · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

7 more players · no line in this feed

Adou ThieroMinutes unavailable

Bronny JamesMinutes unavailable

Dalton KnechtMinutes unavailable

Jarred VanderbiltMinutes unavailable

Luka DončićMinutes unavailable

Maxi KleberMinutes unavailable

Nick Smith Jr.Minutes unavailable

Houston Rockets

Aaron Holiday · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 2 actual

SAlperen Sengun · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 17 actual

SAmen Thompson · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 18 actual

Dorian Finney-Smith · minutes unknown

points 2.5 → 0 actual

SJabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Josh Okogie · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 4 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 30.5 → no final stat available

SReed Sheppard · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 0 actual

STari Eason · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

6 more players · no line in this feed

Clint CapelaMinutes unavailable

Fred VanVleetMinutes unavailable

Jae'Sean TateMinutes unavailable

JD DavisonMinutes unavailable

Jeff GreenMinutes unavailable

Steven AdamsMinutes unavailable

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 206.5 points · odds to win: LAL 2.52, HOU 1.56

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Sat 01:08 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Sat 00:15 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 301 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 13 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

17 other players with a posted line

Rui Hachimura · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.94

Jake LaRavia · points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 12 · 7.5 above the line · played 16.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.91

Dorian Finney-Smith · points 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 7.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.85

Reed Sheppard · rebounds 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 42 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.79

Josh Okogie · rebounds 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 13.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.64

Aaron Holiday · points 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Deandre Ayton · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 28.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.96

Austin Reaves · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.69

LeBron James · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Luke Kennard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.39, Under 1.55

Marcus Smart · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.02

Tari Eason · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 37 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.83

Alperen Sengun · points 20.5 → 17 · 3.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.82

Jaxson Hayes · points 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.7 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.00

Amen Thompson · points 18.5 → 18 · 0.5 below the line · played 44.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.89

Kevin Durant · points + rebounds + assists 30.5 → no final stat available · Fanatics odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs LAL · last 33 games · LAL leads · HOU record 10–23 · average score 106.8–109.9 · HOU has lost by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 May · LAL 98 at HOU 78HOU lost

29 Apr · HOU 99 at LAL 93HOU won

26 Apr · LAL 96 at HOU 115HOU won

24 Apr · LAL 112 at HOU 108HOU lost

21 Apr · HOU 94 at LAL 101HOU lost

18 Apr · HOU 98 at LAL 107HOU lost

18 Mar · LAL 124 at HOU 116HOU lost

16 Mar · LAL 100 at HOU 92HOU lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

BetRivers first had HOU expected to win by 3.5, expected total 206.5 (Thu 05:41 UTC) and later HOU expected to win by 4, expected total 203.5 (Sat 01:08 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 82

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-30)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 66 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 157 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 161 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 165 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 253 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 254 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 261 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 266 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 266 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 270 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 105 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 781 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 841 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 402 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 408 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 411 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 416 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 506 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 516 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 521 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 563 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 568 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 584 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1431 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 592 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 605 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 609 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 840 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1070 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1096 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1094 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1094 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1109 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1109 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1109 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1109 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1109 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1108 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1109 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1117 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1282 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1387 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1386 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.