NBA · May 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs

FinalMIN 95 – SAS 133Page updated 06:54 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes30 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 0 actual

Ayo Dosunmu · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 0 actual

SJaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

SJulius Randle · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

SMike Conley · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Naz Reid · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

SRudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

STerrence Shannon Jr · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

7 more players · no line in this feed

Bones HylandMinutes unavailable

Donte DiVincenzoMinutes unavailable

Jaylen ClarkMinutes unavailable

Joan BeringerMinutes unavailable

Joe InglesMinutes unavailable

Julian PhillipsMinutes unavailable

Kyle AndersonMinutes unavailable

San Antonio Spurs

SDe'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 16 actual

SDevin Vassell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 14 actual

SJulian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

SStephon Castle · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

SVictor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

6 more players · no line in this feed

Bismack BiyomboMinutes unavailable

Carter BryantMinutes unavailable

Jordan McLaughlinMinutes unavailable

Kelly OlynykMinutes unavailable

Lindy Waters IIIMinutes unavailable

Mason PlumleeMinutes unavailable

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 9.5 · both teams together expected to score about 215.5 points · odds to win: MIN 4.20, SAS 1.24

Game odds from 9 bookmakers · observed Thu 00:59 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:54 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Thu 00:33 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 342 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

17 other players with a posted line

Harrison Barnes · points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 14 · 9.5 above the line · played 15.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Anthony Edwards · assists 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Ayo Dosunmu · assists 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 10.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.60

Naz Reid · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 21.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Julius Randle · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.5 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.57, Under 2.25

Luke Kornet · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 13.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.72

Terrence Shannon Jr · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Julian Champagnie · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 22 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.05

Rudy Gobert · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.96

Stephon Castle · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Devin Vassell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.44, Under 1.51

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.23, Under 1.60

Mike Conley · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

De'Aaron Fox · points 17.5 → 16 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Keldon Johnson · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.78

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs MIN · last 29 games · MIN leads · SAS record 11–18 · average score 113.4–115.0 · SAS has lost by 1.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 May · SAS 139 at MIN 109SAS won

12 May · MIN 97 at SAS 126SAS won

10 May · SAS 109 at MIN 114SAS lost

8 May · SAS 115 at MIN 108SAS won

6 May · MIN 95 at SAS 133SAS won

4 May · MIN 104 at SAS 102SAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Caesars first had SAS expected to win by 10, expected total 217 (Wed 16:03 UTC) and later SAS expected to win by 10, expected total 217.5 (Thu 00:59 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 82

sds games/date (2026-05-03)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-04)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-02)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-01)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-05)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-30)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 128 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 130 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 132 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 136 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 143 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 220 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 223 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 104 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 259 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 298 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 299 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 301 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 302 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 304 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 350 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 407 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 438 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 798 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 543 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 593 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 613 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 631 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 648 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 748 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 755 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 767 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 776 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 828 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 837 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 840 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1111 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1118 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1142 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1229 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1247 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1258 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1261 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1344 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1345 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1444 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1462 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1847 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1868 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1927 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1971 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1971 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2027 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2125 ms

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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.