NBA · May 10 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalSAS 109 – MIN 114Page updated 06:55 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes30 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

SDe'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

SDevin Vassell · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 1 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 3 actual

SJulian Champagnie · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 4 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 7.5 → 17 actual

SStephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

SVictor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 4 actual

6 more players · no line in this feed

Bismack BiyomboMinutes unavailable

Carter BryantMinutes unavailable

Jordan McLaughlinMinutes unavailable

Kelly OlynykMinutes unavailable

Lindy Waters IIIMinutes unavailable

Mason PlumleeMinutes unavailable

Minnesota Timberwolves

SAnthony Edwards · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 36 actual

SAyo Dosunmu · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

SJaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

SJulius Randle · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Naz Reid · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

SRudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Terrence Shannon Jr · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

8 more players · no line in this feed

Bones HylandMinutes unavailable

Donte DiVincenzoMinutes unavailable

Jaylen ClarkMinutes unavailable

Joan BeringerMinutes unavailable

Joe InglesMinutes unavailable

Julian PhillipsMinutes unavailable

Kyle AndersonMinutes unavailable

Mike ConleyMinutes unavailable

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 219 points · odds to win: SAS 1.52, MIN 2.71

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:55 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Sun 22:23 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 370 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 7 of 11 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

16 other players with a posted line

Luke Kornet · points + rebounds + assists 7.5 → 17 · 9.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 40.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.36, Under 1.56

Victor Wembanyama · points 26.5 → 4 · 22.5 below the line · played 12.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Devin Vassell · rebounds 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 33.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.26, Under 1.61

Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.32, Under 1.57

Keldon Johnson · points 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 16.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Anthony Edwards · points 25.5 → 36 · 10.5 above the line · played 40.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Stephon Castle · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.07

Naz Reid · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

Harrison Barnes · points + rebounds + assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 9.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Julius Randle · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.53, Under 2.45

Rudy Gobert · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

De'Aaron Fox · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.24

Ayo Dosunmu · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.59

Julian Champagnie · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.15

Terrence Shannon Jr · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs SAS · last 29 games · MIN leads · MIN record 18–11 · average score 115.0–113.4 · MIN has won by 1.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 May · SAS 139 at MIN 109MIN lost

12 May · MIN 97 at SAS 126MIN lost

10 May · SAS 109 at MIN 114MIN won

8 May · SAS 115 at MIN 108MIN lost

6 May · MIN 95 at SAS 133MIN lost

4 May · MIN 104 at SAS 102MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 5, expected total 219 (Sun 23:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 23:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 79

sds games/date (2026-05-09)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-08)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-07)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-06)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-05)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-04)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-03)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-02)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-01)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-30)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 114 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 117 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 121 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 130 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 277 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 278 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 280 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 313 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 318 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 322 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 329 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 227 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 352 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 761 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 892 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1990 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 92 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 330 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 716 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 733 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 756 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 762 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 770 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 771 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 803 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 814 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 828 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 838 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 841 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 849 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 889 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 893 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 899 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 968 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.