NBA · Nov 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Trail Blazers at Miami Heat

FinalPOR 131 – MIA 136Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 7 actual

Jrue Holiday · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Robert Williams III · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 0 actual

Shaedon Sharpe · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 8 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 307 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Robert Williams III · points 4.5 → 0 · 4.5 below the line · played 7.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Shaedon Sharpe · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 28.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Nikola Jović · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.28, Under 1.57

Dru Smith · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 22.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.69

Toumani Camara · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.15

Andrew Wiggins · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.90

Pelle Larsson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Donovan Clingan · rebounds 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Deni Avdija · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.57

Jrue Holiday · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Davion Mitchell · assists 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs POR · last 13 games · MIA leads · MIA record 9–4 · average score 116.6–107.2 · MIA has won by 9.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Jan · MIA 110 at POR 127MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 17 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 89 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 99 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 101 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 101 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 102 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 129 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 199 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 597 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 571 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 573 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1222 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1324 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1325 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1325 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1354 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1358 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1368 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1371 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1454 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1457 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1456 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.