NBA · Feb 11 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors

FinalSAS 126 – GSW 113Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes15 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 8 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 16 actual

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 7 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 10 actual

Gui Santos · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 220.5 points · odds to win: SAS 1.46, GSW 2.91

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 02:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAS also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 332 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

15 other players with a posted line

De'Anthony Melton · assists 2.5 → 7 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

De'Aaron Fox · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Gui Santos · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Draymond Green · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 29.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Julian Champagnie · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Dylan Harper · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 29 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Stephon Castle · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.10

Devin Vassell · points 12.5 → 8 · 4.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Keldon Johnson · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Al Horford · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.03, Under 1.75

Brandin Podziemski · points 13.5 → 16 · 2.5 above the line · played 36 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Gary Payton II · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 14.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Moses Moody · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 35 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs SAS · last 23 games · GSW leads · GSW record 13–10 · average score 116.3–111.1 · GSW has won by 5.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Apr · SAS 127 at GSW 113GSW lost

11 Feb · SAS 126 at GSW 113GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 7, expected total 220.5 (Thu 02:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 02:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 64

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 24 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 46 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 126 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 130 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 130 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 132 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 137 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 148 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 151 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 293 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 522 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 528 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 973 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1067 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1067 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1079 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1127 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1162 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1162 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1162 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1163 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1167 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1171 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1199 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1204 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1237 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1244 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.