NBA · May 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs

FinalMIN 104 – SAS 102Page updated 06:55 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes30 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 18 actual

Ayo Dosunmu · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → no final stat available

Bones Hyland · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

SJaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

SJulius Randle · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

SMike Conley · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Naz Reid · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

SRudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

STerrence Shannon Jr · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

6 more players · no line in this feed

Donte DiVincenzoMinutes unavailable

Jaylen ClarkMinutes unavailable

Joan BeringerMinutes unavailable

Joe InglesMinutes unavailable

Julian PhillipsMinutes unavailable

Kyle AndersonMinutes unavailable

San Antonio Spurs

SDe'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

SDevin Vassell · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 14 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 18 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

SJulian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 17 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 2 actual

SStephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 5 actual

SVictor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

6 more players · no line in this feed

Bismack BiyomboMinutes unavailable

Carter BryantMinutes unavailable

Jordan McLaughlinMinutes unavailable

Kelly OlynykMinutes unavailable

Lindy Waters IIIMinutes unavailable

Mason PlumleeMinutes unavailable

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 217.5 points · odds to win: MIN 4.27, SAS 1.24

Game odds from 10 bookmakers · observed Tue 01:29 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 06:55 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Tue 00:25 UTC) · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 469 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

18 other players with a posted line

Bones Hyland · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 11.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.38, Under 1.53

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Terrence Shannon Jr · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 9.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

Julian Champagnie · points 8.5 → 17 · 8.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.79

Dylan Harper · points 9.5 → 18 · 8.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Mike Conley · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67

Julius Randle · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 41.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.65

Luke Kornet · points 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 8.1 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.93

Victor Wembanyama · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 39.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.53

Naz Reid · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67

Stephon Castle · assists 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.12

Keldon Johnson · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 23.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Anthony Edwards · points 24.5 → 18 · 6.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Rudy Gobert · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Devin Vassell · points 12.5 → 14 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

De'Aaron Fox · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.65

Ayo Dosunmu · points 17.5 → no final stat available · Caesars odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs MIN · last 29 games · MIN leads · SAS record 11–18 · average score 113.4–115.0 · SAS has lost by 1.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 May · SAS 139 at MIN 109SAS won

12 May · MIN 97 at SAS 126SAS won

10 May · SAS 109 at MIN 114SAS lost

8 May · SAS 115 at MIN 108SAS won

6 May · MIN 95 at SAS 133SAS won

4 May · MIN 104 at SAS 102SAS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Bovada first had SAS expected to win by 12.5, expected total 218 (Mon 16:01 UTC) and later SAS expected to win by 10.5, expected total 218.5 (Tue 01:29 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 85

sds games/date (2026-05-01)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-26)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-03)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-28)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-22)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-27)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-29)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-30)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 25 ms

sds games/date (2026-05-02)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-25)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-21)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-24)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-23)ok 200 · 28 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 30 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 112 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 114 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 87 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 121 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 121 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 128 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 331 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 404 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 409 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 417 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 456 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 750 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 757 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2576 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2577 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2637 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2666 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2668 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2667 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2668 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2669 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2786 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2790 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3032 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 3031 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3037 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3065 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3067 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3092 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3162 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.