02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

K. Towns · Over 3.5 assistsWonPosted at 1.73 · last price before start 1.75Won +0.73 per 1 staked

Posted at 1.73 · Our price was 0.5% lower than the last price before the start.

Pinnacle 1.75, 47 min ago

First offered at 1.58 by Pinnacle (); latest 1.66 at Pinnacle (). The 3.5 line itself has not moved.

Re-checked 1 h before the start not re-checked

This published pick uses a model-sized stake of 0.00 units. The public Results/Ledger CORE benchmark grades each eligible priced signal at a flat 1 unit and can cover more signals than this game card.

Investigate this prop →
Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

20 players checked · 11 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 5 of 20 players have performed clearly differently and 3 show a slight hint · playoff series: too few games to measure a difference

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

New York Knicksplaying SAS

SJalen Brunson · minutes unknown
assists 6.5 → 6 actual
Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 2.5 → no final stat available
Jose Alvarado · minutes unknown
points 2.5 → 2 actual
SJosh Hart · minutes unknown
points 11.5 → 0 actual
SKarl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 4 actual
Landry Shamet · minutes unknown
points 7.5 → 13 actual
SMikal Bridges · minutes unknown
points 11.5 → 20 actual
Miles McBride · minutes unknown
points 5.5 → 5 actual
Mitchell Robinson · minutes unknown
rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual
SOG Anunoby · minutes unknown
points 15.5 → 17 actual

5 players have no line from any bookmaker: Hukporti · Sochan · Diawara · +2 more

San Antonio Spursplaying NYK

Carter Bryant · minutes unknown
points + rebounds + assists 2.5 → 0 actual
SDe'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown
rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual
SDevin Vassell · minutes unknown
assists 2.5 → 5 actual
Dylan Harper · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 3 actual
Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown
points 1.5 → 0 actual
SJulian Champagnie · minutes unknown
assists 1.5 → 1 actual
Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown
points 6.5 → 3 actual
Luke Kornet · minutes unknown
points 2.5 → 1 actual
SStephon Castle · minutes unknown
assists 6.5 → 4 actual
SVictor Wembanyama · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 2 actual

5 players have no line from any bookmaker: Biyombo · McLaughlin · Olynyk · +2 more

04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed () · NBA Official Lineups API, a lineup news service

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 52 of the 387 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 2 of 11 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
Final · 1 of 1 pick won1 won, 0 lost · +0.73 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 0.5% lower than the last before the start
Karl-Anthony Towns · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.9 min
Pick: Over 3.5 at 1.73 → Won +0.73 per 1 staked
19 other players with a posted line
Josh Hart · points 11.5 → 0 · 11.5 below the line · played 18.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.11, Under 1.75
Carter Bryant · points + rebounds + assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 3.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87
Devin Vassell · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.19, Under 1.69
Harrison Barnes · points 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 4.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54
Mikal Bridges · points 11.5 → 20 · 8.5 above the line · played 40.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.99
Landry Shamet · points 7.5 → 13 · 5.5 above the line · played 30.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.07
Luke Kornet · points 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 7.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.81
Keldon Johnson · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 15.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.84
Mitchell Robinson · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 14 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.78
Victor Wembanyama · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 40.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.38, Under 1.59
Stephon Castle · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.91
Julian Champagnie · assists 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 36 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.32, Under 1.62
Jose Alvarado · points 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 10.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.05
De'Aaron Fox · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.80
Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.34, Under 1.61
OG Anunoby · points 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.93
Miles McBride · points 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.85
Jalen Brunson · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.16, Under 1.68
Jordan Clarkson · points + rebounds + assists 2.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.05

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

SAS vs NYK · last 19 games · NYK leads · SAS record 8–11 · average score 110.1–111.4 · SAS has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

13 Jun · NYK 94 at SAS 90SAS lost
10 Jun · SAS 106 at NYK 107SAS lost
8 Jun · SAS 115 at NYK 111SAS won
5 Jun · NYK 105 at SAS 104SAS lost
3 Jun · NYK 105 at SAS 95SAS lost
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 6, expected total 214 () and later SAS expected to win by 7, expected total 216.5 ().

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 1
Karl-Anthony Towns · O 3.5 assists−137value_edge_pct – · kelly – · price_check unchecked
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 1
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 3.5 ASTWIN +0.73ubet −137 → close −134 · CLV −0.5¢ · bet_clv:7080 · disciplined · captured 2026-06-05T18:00:25Z · actual 4 · 33.9 min · started
Data fetches · 91
sds games/date (2026-05-31)ok 200 · 33 ms
sds games/date (2026-06-04)ok 200 · 34 ms
sds games/date (2026-06-02)ok 200 · 35 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-26)ok 200 · 37 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-30)ok 200 · 38 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-23)ok 200 · 39 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-22)ok 200 · 39 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-27)ok 200 · 40 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-24)ok 200 · 40 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-28)ok 200 · 40 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-29)ok 200 · 40 ms
sds games/date (2026-05-25)ok 200 · 41 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 40 ms
sds games/date (2026-06-03)ok 200 · 41 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 42 ms
sds games/date (2026-06-01)ok 200 · 45 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 131 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 131 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 132 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 134 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 135 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 138 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 138 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 142 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 144 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 166 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 755 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1025 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 1275 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1699 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 28 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 29 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 32 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 35 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 37 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 39 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 41 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 41 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 53 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 59 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 60 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 64 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 66 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 77 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 82 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 86 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 90 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 95 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 118 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 121 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 126 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 200 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 205 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 259 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 268 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 274 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 280 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1122 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1122 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1179 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1180 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1401 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1409 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1411 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1412 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1416 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1420 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1423 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1428 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1460 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1487 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1518 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1544 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1564 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1564 ms
odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 2200 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.