NBA · Apr 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs

FinalPOR 106 – SAS 103Page updated 09:47 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes16 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 3 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 10 actual

Jrue Holiday · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Robert Williams III · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 11 actual

Scoot Henderson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Shaedon Sharpe · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 10 actual

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 10 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 10 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 5 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 220.5 points · odds to win: POR 5.56, SAS 1.17

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:47 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 281 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

16 other players with a posted line

Scoot Henderson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 38 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Luke Kornet · points 3.5 → 10 · 6.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Robert Williams III · points 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 23.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Devin Vassell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Deni Avdija · assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Shaedon Sharpe · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 12.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

De'Aaron Fox · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Stephon Castle · assists 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 37.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Keldon Johnson · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 17.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Dylan Harper · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Jrue Holiday · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 39 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Harrison Barnes · points + rebounds + assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Julian Champagnie · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Donovan Clingan · rebounds 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Toumani Camara · points 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs POR · last 28 games · SAS leads · SAS record 18–10 · average score 116.1–109.3 · SAS has won by 6.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

28 Apr · POR 95 at SAS 114SAS won

26 Apr · SAS 114 at POR 93SAS won

24 Apr · SAS 120 at POR 108SAS won

21 Apr · POR 106 at SAS 103SAS lost

19 Apr · POR 98 at SAS 111SAS won

8 Apr · POR 101 at SAS 112SAS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 11, expected total 220.5 (Tue 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 81

sds games/date (2026-04-19)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-13)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-18)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-12)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-17)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-14)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-20)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-11)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-16)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-15)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-10)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-08)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-07)ok 200 · 59 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 64 ms

sds games/date (2026-04-09)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 82 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 141 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 179 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 0 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 182 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 219 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 218 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 226 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 227 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 227 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 229 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 257 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 483 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 786 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 391 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 396 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 403 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 424 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 425 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 427 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 442 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 443 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 448 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 452 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 456 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 460 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 464 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 468 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 471 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 483 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 489 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 494 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 503 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 505 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 582 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 617 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1151 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1572 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1876 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1877 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1878 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1881 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1882 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1883 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1884 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1932 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1936 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1942 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1942 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1953 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 2004 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2077 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.